USA 4-1 Paraguay — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: USA entered at 61.4% versus 18.9% for Paraguay, with a 42-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 19.8%. USA won USA 4–1 Paraguay in commanding fashion, exceeding even the model's expectations.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Goals

• D. Bobadilla 7' (OG) — Paraguay
• F. Balogun 31' — USA
• F. Balogun 45' — USA
• Maurício 73' — Paraguay
• G. Reyna 90' — USA

Match Statistics

Watch Highlights

Opens official broadcaster highlight clips.