Turkey 3-2 USA — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: USA entered at 63.2% versus 17.8% for Turkey, with a 45-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 19.0%. In a tournament upset, Turkey defied the forecast to win Turkey 3–2 USA.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Goals

• A. Trusty 3' — USA
• A. Güler 10' — Turkey
• B. Yilmaz 31' — Turkey
• S. Berhalter 49' — USA
• K. Ayhan 90' — Turkey

Match Statistics

Watch Highlights

Opens official broadcaster highlight clips.