Tunisia 1-3 Netherlands — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats
Tunisia vs Netherlands
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Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Netherlands entered at 72.1% versus 9.9% for Tunisia, with a 62-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 18.0%. The result — Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands — went with the forecast as Netherlands confirmed their status.
Pre-Match Win Probability
Goals
- E. Skhiri 3' (OG) — Tunisia
- B. Brobbey 7' — Netherlands
- H. Mastouri 54' — Tunisia
- J. van Hecke 62' — Netherlands
Match Statistics
| Tunisia | Netherlands | |
| 28% | Possession | 72% |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 4 | Shots on Target | 7 |
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