Netherlands 5-1 Sweden — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats
Netherlands vs Sweden
5 – 1
Full Time
Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Netherlands entered at 51.1% versus 25.1% for Sweden, with a 26-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 23.8%. Netherlands won Netherlands 5–1 Sweden in commanding fashion, exceeding even the model's expectations.
Pre-Match Win Probability
Goals
- B. Brobbey 5' — Netherlands
- B. Brobbey 17' — Netherlands
- C. Gakpo 47' — Netherlands
- C. Gakpo 54' — Netherlands
- A. Elanga 59' — Sweden
- C. Summerville 89' — Netherlands
Match Statistics
| Netherlands | Sweden | |
| 51% | Possession | 49% |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | Shots on Target | 8 |
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