New Zealand 1-3 Egypt — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats
New Zealand vs Egypt
1 – 3
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Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Egypt entered at 63.6% versus 17.6% for New Zealand, with a 46-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 18.8%. The result — New Zealand 1–3 Egypt — went with the forecast as Egypt confirmed their status.
Pre-Match Win Probability
Goals
- F. Surman 15' — New Zealand
- M. Zico 58' — Egypt
- M. Salah 67' — Egypt
- Trézéguet 82' — Egypt
Match Statistics
| New Zealand | Egypt | |
| 44% | Possession | 56% |
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
| 5 | Shots on Target | 7 |
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