New Zealand 1-5 Belgium — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats
New Zealand vs Belgium
1 – 5
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Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Belgium entered at 73.3% versus 8.7% for New Zealand, with a 65-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 18.0%. Belgium won New Zealand 1–5 Belgium in commanding fashion, exceeding even the model's expectations.
Pre-Match Win Probability
Goals
- L. Trossard 28' — Belgium
- L. Trossard 50' — Belgium
- K. De Bruyne 66' — Belgium
- E. Just 84' — New Zealand
- R. Lukaku 86' — Belgium
- A. Saelemaekers 90' — Belgium
Match Statistics
| New Zealand | Belgium | |
| 45% | Possession | 55% |
| 6 | Shots | 35 |
| 2 | Shots on Target | 10 |
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