Uruguay 0-1 Spain — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats
Uruguay vs Spain
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Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Spain entered at 54.2% versus 23.2% for Uruguay, with a 31-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 22.6%. The result — Uruguay 0–1 Spain — went with the forecast as Spain confirmed their status.
Pre-Match Win Probability
Goals
- Á. Baena 42' — Spain
Match Statistics
| Uruguay | Spain | |
| 33% | Possession | 67% |
| 5 | Shots | 6 |
| 1 | Shots on Target | 1 |
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