England 4-2 Croatia — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: England entered at 54.8% versus 22.8% for Croatia, with a 32-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 22.4%. The result — England 4–2 Croatia — went with the forecast as England confirmed their status.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Goals

• H. Kane 12' (P) — England
• M. Baturina 36' — Croatia
• H. Kane 42' — England
• P. Musa 45' — Croatia
• J. Bellingham 47' — England
• M. Rashford 85' — England

Match Statistics

Watch Highlights

Opens official broadcaster highlight clips.