Ecuador 2-1 Germany — FIFA World Cup 2026 Result, Goals & Stats
Ecuador vs Germany
2 – 1
Full Time
Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Germany entered at 75.2% versus 6.8% for Ecuador, with a 68-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 18.0%. In a tournament upset, Ecuador defied the forecast to win Ecuador 2–1 Germany.
Pre-Match Win Probability
Goals
- L. Sané 2' — Germany
- N. Angulo 9' — Ecuador
- G. Plata 77' — Ecuador
Match Statistics
| Ecuador | Germany | |
| 39% | Possession | 61% |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | Shots on Target | 3 |
Watch Highlights
▶ Official Highlights on YouTubeOpens official broadcaster highlight clips.