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Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2-4 AFC Ajax — Champions League Result, Goals & Stats

Champions League · LEAGUE_STAGE · 2025-12-10
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs AFC Ajax
2 – 4
Full Time

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Qarabağ Ağdam FK entered at 59.7% versus 18.5% for AFC Ajax, with a 41-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 21.8%. In a tournament upset, AFC Ajax defied the forecast to win Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2–4 AFC Ajax.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Qarabağ Ağdam FKDrawAFC Ajax
59.7%
21.8%
18.5%
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