Atalanta BC 1-2 Cagliari Calcio — Serie A Result, Goals & Stats

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Atalanta BC entered at 56.8% versus 20.2% for Cagliari Calcio, with a 37-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 23.0%. In a tournament upset, Cagliari Calcio defied the forecast to win Atalanta BC 1–2 Cagliari Calcio.

Pre-Match Win Probability

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