FC Arouca 1-0 CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga Result, Goals & Stats
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
1 – 0
Full Time
Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: FC Arouca entered at 49.9% versus 24.3% for CF Estrela da Amadora, with a 26-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 25.8%. The result — FC Arouca 1–0 CF Estrela da Amadora — went with the forecast as FC Arouca confirmed their status.
Pre-Match Win Probability
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