FC Arouca 1-0 CD Nacional — Primeira Liga Result, Goals & Stats
FC Arouca vs CD Nacional
1 – 0
Full Time
Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: FC Arouca entered at 67.4% versus 14.2% for CD Nacional, with a 53-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 18.4%. The result — FC Arouca 1–0 CD Nacional — went with the forecast as FC Arouca confirmed their status.
Pre-Match Win Probability
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