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Manchester City FC 2-1 AFC Bournemouth — Premier League Result, Goals & Stats

Premier League · REGULAR_SEASON · 2026-08-23
Manchester City FC vs AFC Bournemouth
2 – 1
Full Time

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Manchester City FC entered at 64.1% versus 16.0% for AFC Bournemouth, with a 48-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 20.0%. The result — Manchester City FC 2–1 AFC Bournemouth — went with the forecast as Manchester City FC confirmed their status.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Manchester City FCDrawAFC Bournemouth
64.1%
20.0%
16.0%
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