Aston Villa FC 1-2 Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League Result, Goals & Stats
Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC
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Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Aston Villa FC entered at 53.6% versus 22.1% for Nottingham Forest FC, with a 32-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 24.3%. In a tournament upset, Nottingham Forest FC defied the forecast to win Aston Villa FC 1–2 Nottingham Forest FC.
Pre-Match Win Probability
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