Aston Villa FC 2-1 Manchester City FC — Premier League Result, Goals & Stats
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Manchester City FC entered at 50.8% versus 23.8% for Aston Villa FC, with a 27-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 25.4%. In a tournament upset, Aston Villa FC defied the forecast to win Aston Villa FC 2–1 Manchester City FC.
Pre-Match Win Probability
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