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Aston Villa FC 0-1 Arsenal FC — Premier League Result, Goals & Stats

Premier League · REGULAR_SEASON · 2026-08-31
Aston Villa FC vs Arsenal FC
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Arsenal FC entered at 54.0% versus 21.9% for Aston Villa FC, with a 32-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 24.1%. The result — Aston Villa FC 0–1 Arsenal FC — went with the forecast as Arsenal FC confirmed their status.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Aston Villa FCDrawArsenal FC
21.9%
24.1%
54.0%
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