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Paris Saint-Germain FC 1-2 AS Monaco FC — Ligue 1 Result, Goals & Stats

Ligue 1 · REGULAR_SEASON · 2026-09-04
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs AS Monaco FC
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: Paris Saint-Germain FC entered at 58.5% versus 19.2% for AS Monaco FC, with a 39-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 22.3%. In a tournament upset, AS Monaco FC defied the forecast to win Paris Saint-Germain FC 1–2 AS Monaco FC.

Pre-Match Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain FCDrawAS Monaco FC
58.5%
22.3%
19.2%
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