FC Lorient 1-2 ES Troyes AC — Ligue 1 Result, Goals & Stats
FC Lorient vs ES Troyes AC
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Match Preview & Analysis
The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: FC Lorient entered at 54.4% versus 21.6% for ES Troyes AC, with a 33-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 24.0%. In a tournament upset, ES Troyes AC defied the forecast to win FC Lorient 1–2 ES Troyes AC.
Pre-Match Win Probability
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