1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Union Berlin — Bundesliga Prediction & Preview

Match Preview & Analysis

The probability model strongly favours 1. FSV Mainz 05 at 50.6%, leaving 1. FC Union Berlin at just 23.9% — a 27-point probability gap that reflects a significant ELO gap. The draw is rated 25.5%. 1. FC Union Berlin will need an exceptional defensive display and clinical finishing to cause what would be a major upset.

Win Probability Forecast

Where to Watch

Official rights-holders. Availability varies by region & subscription.