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1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga Prediction & Preview

Bundesliga · REGULAR_SEASON · 2026-10-17
1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
vs
00:00 UTC · 2026-10-17

Match Preview & Analysis

The probability model strongly favours Borussia Dortmund at 60.5%, leaving 1. FC Union Berlin at just 18.0% — a 42-point probability gap that reflects a significant ELO gap. The draw is rated 21.5%. 1. FC Union Berlin will need an exceptional defensive display and clinical finishing to cause what would be a major upset.

Win Probability Forecast

1. FC Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund
18.0%
21.5%
60.5%
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