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1. FC Köln 3-2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga Result, Goals & Stats

Bundesliga · REGULAR_SEASON · 2026-08-29
1. FC Köln vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
3 – 2
Full Time

Match Preview & Analysis

The ELO model identified a clear quality gap: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim entered at 51.7% versus 23.2% for 1. FC Köln, with a 29-point probability gap. The draw was rated just 25.1%. In a tournament upset, 1. FC Köln defied the forecast to win 1. FC Köln 3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

Pre-Match Win Probability

1. FC KölnDrawTSG 1899 Hoffenheim
23.2%
25.1%
51.7%
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