USA 2–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
USA
2 – 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
FINAL
USA won the Round of 32 tie by a two-goal margin, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated USA 81% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Bosnia & Herzegovina, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave USA a 81% chance of winning versus 19% for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Folarin Balogun (USA)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1890 | ▲ +36 | 1926 | #13 | 2.4% |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1640 | ▲ +3 | 1643 | #37 | 1.7% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.