USA 2–0 Australia: World Cup 2026 Group D Match Report
Group Stage · Group D · Matchday 2
USA
2 – 0
Australia
FINAL
USA claimed all three points by a comfortable two-goal margin, a result that was something of a surprise given the pre-match ELO ratings. USA entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave USA a 59% chance of winning versus 41% for Australia.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Folarin Balogun (USA)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 1890 | ▲ +25 | 1915 | #14 | 2.4% |
| Australia | 1830 | ▲ +44 | 1874 | #18 | 2.2% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group D Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA ✓ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia ✓ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 3 | Turkiye | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Paraguay | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- USA vs Turkiye — 2026-06-25 (Los Angeles)
- Australia vs Paraguay — 2026-06-25 (Santa Clara)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.