Tunisia 1–3 Netherlands: World Cup 2026 Group F Match Report
Group Stage · Group F · Matchday 3
Tunisia
1 – 3
Netherlands
FINAL
Netherlands claimed all three points by a comfortable two-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Netherlands entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Tunisia a 21% chance of winning versus 79% for Netherlands.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Brian Brobbey (Netherlands)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 1790 | ▼ -93 | 1697 | #32 | 1.8% |
| Netherlands | 2020 | ▲ +37 | 2057 | #5 | 2.7% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group F Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands ✓ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +6 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan ✓ | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.