FIFA WORLD CUP 2026

Tunisia 0–4 Japan: World Cup 2026 Group F Match Report

Sunday, June 21, 2026 • 3 min read • By FootUps Editorial
Group Stage · Group F · Matchday 2
Tunisia
0 – 4
Japan
FINAL

Japan claimed all three points by an emphatic 4-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Japan entered this fixture as favorites.

Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Tunisia a 37% chance of winning versus 63% for Japan.

Today's Matches & Predictions

Goalscorers

ELO Rating Impact

This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.

Team Pre-Match Change New ELO Global Rank Win %
Tunisia 1790 ▼ -48 1742 #28 1.9%
Japan 1880 ▲ +11 1891 #16 2.3%

ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.

Group F Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Japan 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Sweden 2 1 0 1 +0 3
4 Tunisia 2 0 0 2 -6 0

✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32

Next Up

Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.