Switzerland 2–1 Canada: World Cup 2026 Group B Match Report
Group Stage · Group B · Matchday 3
Switzerland
2 – 1
Canada
FINAL
Switzerland claimed all three points by a narrow one-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Switzerland entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Switzerland a 72% chance of winning versus 28% for Canada.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Johan Manzambi (Switzerland)
- Jonathan David (Canada)
- Cyle Larin (Canada)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 1860 | ▲ +8 | 1868 | #17 | 2.2% |
| Canada | 1700 | ▲ +48 | 1748 | #28 | 1.9% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group B Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland ✓ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada ✓ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.