Senegal 5–0 Iraq: World Cup 2026 Group I Match Report
Group Stage · Group I · Matchday 3
Senegal
5 – 0
Iraq
FINAL
Senegal took all three points by an emphatic 5 goals, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Senegal 64% favourites going in, and they duly delivered.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Senegal a 64% chance of winning versus 36% for Iraq.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal | 1730 | ▼ -33 | 1697 | #34 | 1.8% |
| Iraq | 1630 | ▼ -39 | 1591 | #43 | 1.6% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France ✓ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway ✓ | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Senegal vs Iraq — 2026-06-27 (Philadelphia)
- Iraq vs Senegal — 2026-06-27 (Philadelphia)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.