Paraguay 0–1 France: World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Match Report
Round of 16
Paraguay
0 – 1
France
FINAL
France won the Round of 16 tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated France 91% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Paraguay, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Paraguay a 9% chance of winning versus 91% for France.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Kylian Mbappé (France)
- Ousmane Dembélé (France)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 1690 | ▲ +69 | 1759 | #26 | 2.0% |
| France | 2100 | ▲ +55 | 2155 | #2 | 3.0% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.