Paraguay 0–0 Australia: World Cup 2026 Group D Match Report
Group Stage · Group D · Matchday 3
Paraguay
0 – 0
Australia
FINAL
A hard-fought draw, with both sides sharing the spoils. The result leaves the Group D standings tightly contested heading into the remaining fixtures.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Paraguay a 31% chance of winning versus 69% for Australia.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 1690 | ▲ +25 | 1715 | #30 | 1.9% |
| Australia | 1830 | ▼ -7 | 1823 | #20 | 2.1% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group D Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA ✓ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 | Australia ✓ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkiye | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.