Panama 0–1 Croatia: World Cup 2026 Group L Match Report
Group Stage · Group L · Matchday 2
Panama
0 – 1
Croatia
FINAL
Croatia claimed all three points by a narrow one-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Croatia entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Panama a 17% chance of winning versus 83% for Croatia.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama | 1660 | ▼ -36 | 1624 | #37 | 1.7% |
| Croatia | 1940 | ▼ -19 | 1921 | #15 | 2.4% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group L Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England ✓ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 | Ghana ✓ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Panama | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Panama vs England — 2026-06-27 (Monterrey)
- Croatia vs Ghana — 2026-06-27 (Toronto)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.