New Zealand 1–3 Egypt: World Cup 2026 Group G Match Report
Group Stage · Group G · Matchday 2
New Zealand
1 – 3
Egypt
FINAL
Egypt claimed all three points by a comfortable two-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Egypt entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave New Zealand a 23% chance of winning versus 77% for Egypt.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 1600 | ▼ -5 | 1595 | #43 | 1.6% |
| Egypt | 1810 | ▲ +35 | 1845 | #20 | 2.2% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group G Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico ✓ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Korea Republic ✓ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 3 | Czechia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | South Africa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- New Zealand vs Belgium — 2026-06-26 (Vancouver)
- Egypt vs Iran — 2026-06-26 (Seattle)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.