Norway 3–2 Senegal: World Cup 2026 Group I Match Report
Group Stage · Group I · Matchday 2
Norway
3 – 2
Senegal
FINAL
Norway claimed all three points by a narrow one-goal margin, a result that was something of a surprise given the pre-match ELO ratings. Norway entered this fixture as underdogs.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Norway a 54% chance of winning versus 46% for Senegal.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Erling Haaland (Norway)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 1760 | ▲ +57 | 1817 | #22 | 2.1% |
| Senegal | 1730 | ▼ -33 | 1697 | #34 | 1.8% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France ✓ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway ✓ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 4 | Iraq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Norway vs France — 2026-06-27 (Boston)
- Senegal vs Iraq — 2026-06-27 (Philadelphia)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.