Norway 1–2 England: World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Match Report
Quarter-Final
Norway
1 – 2
England
FINAL
England won the Quarter-Final tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated England 86% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Norway, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Norway a 14% chance of winning versus 86% for England.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Erling Haaland (Norway)
- Harry Kane (England)
- Jude Bellingham (England)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 1760 | ▲ +121 | 1881 | #18 | 2.3% |
| England | 2070 | ▲ +37 | 2107 | #4 | 2.8% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.