Netherlands 5–1 Sweden: World Cup 2026 Group F Match Report
Group Stage · Group F · Matchday 2
Netherlands
5 – 1
Sweden
FINAL
Netherlands claimed all three points by an emphatic 4-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Netherlands entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Netherlands a 74% chance of winning versus 26% for Sweden.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Yasin Ayari (Sweden)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 2020 | ▼ -11 | 2009 | #7 | 2.6% |
| Sweden | 1840 | ▲ +48 | 1888 | #17 | 2.3% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group F Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands ✓ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 2 | Sweden ✓ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Japan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Netherlands vs Tunisia — 2026-06-25 (Kansas City)
- Sweden vs Japan — 2026-06-25 (Dallas)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.