Mexico 1–0 Korea Republic: World Cup 2026 Group A Match Report
Group Stage · Group A · Matchday 2
Mexico
1 – 0
Korea Republic
FINAL
Mexico claimed all three points by a narrow one-goal margin, a result that was something of a surprise given the pre-match ELO ratings. Mexico entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Mexico a 56% chance of winning versus 44% for Korea Republic.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1900 | ▲ +11 | 1911 | #14 | 2.3% |
| Korea Republic | 1860 | ▲ +20 | 1880 | #18 | 2.3% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico ✓ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 | Korea Republic ✓ | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 3 | Czechia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | South Africa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Mexico vs Czechia — 2026-06-24 (Mexico City)
- Korea Republic vs South Africa — 2026-06-24 (Monterrey)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.