Jordan 1–3 Argentina: World Cup 2026 Group J Match Report
Group Stage · Group J · Matchday 3
Jordan
1 – 3
Argentina
FINAL
Argentina took all three points by a two-goal margin, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Argentina 95% favourites going in, and they duly delivered.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Jordan a 5% chance of winning versus 95% for Argentina.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Lionel Messi (Argentina)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan | 1650 | ▼ -51 | 1599 | #41 | 1.6% |
| Argentina | 2150 | ▲ +20 | 2170 | #1 | 3.0% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group J Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina ✓ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria ✓ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.