Iraq 1–4 Norway: World Cup 2026 Group I Match Report
Group Stage · Group I · Matchday 1
Iraq
1 – 4
Norway
FINAL
Norway claimed all three points by an emphatic 3-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Norway entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Iraq a 32% chance of winning versus 68% for Norway.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Erling Haaland (Norway)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | 1630 | ±0 | 1630 | #41 | 1.7% |
| Norway | 1760 | ±0 | 1760 | #26 | 2.0% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 1 | Norway ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Iraq | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 3 | Senegal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Iraq vs France — 2026-06-22 (Philadelphia)
- Norway vs Senegal — 2026-06-22 (New York/NJ)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.