Iran 2–2 New Zealand: World Cup 2026 Group G Match Report
Group Stage · Group G · Matchday 1
Iran
2 – 2
New Zealand
FINAL
A hard-fought draw, with both sides sharing the spoils. The result leaves the Group G standings tightly contested heading into the remaining fixtures.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Iran a 76% chance of winning versus 24% for New Zealand.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Elijah Just (New Zealand)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 1800 | ▼ -16 | 1784 | #23 | 2.0% |
| New Zealand | 1600 | ▲ +16 | 1616 | #42 | 1.7% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group G Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Korea Republic ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Iran vs Belgium — 2026-06-21 (Los Angeles)
- New Zealand vs Egypt — 2026-06-21 (Vancouver)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.