Haiti 0–1 Scotland: World Cup 2026 Group C Match Report
Group Stage · Group C · Matchday 1
Haiti
0 – 1
Scotland
FINAL
Scotland claimed all three points by a narrow one-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Scotland entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Haiti a 25% chance of winning versus 75% for Scotland.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti | 1530 | ▼ -15 | 1515 | #46 | 1.5% |
| Scotland | 1720 | ▲ +15 | 1735 | #29 | 1.9% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group C Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Brazil ✓ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 2 | Morocco ✓ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 4 | Haiti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Haiti vs Brazil — 2026-06-19 (Philadelphia)
- Scotland vs Morocco — 2026-06-19 (Boston)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.