France 3–0 Sweden: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
France
3 – 0
Sweden
FINAL
France won the Round of 32 tie by an emphatic 3 goals, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated France 82% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Sweden, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave France a 82% chance of winning versus 18% for Sweden.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Kylian Mbappé (France)
- Ousmane Dembélé (France)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2100 | ▲ +55 | 2155 | #2 | 3.0% |
| Sweden | 1840 | ▼ -1 | 1839 | #19 | 2.2% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.