France 3–1 Senegal: World Cup 2026 Group I Match Report
Group Stage · Group I · Matchday 1
France
3 – 1
Senegal
FINAL
France claimed all three points by a comfortable two-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. France entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave France a 89% chance of winning versus 11% for Senegal.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Kylian Mbappé (France)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2100 | ±0 | 2100 | #2 | 2.8% |
| Senegal | 1730 | ±0 | 1730 | #30 | 1.9% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Iraq ✓ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| 2 | Norway ✓ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| 4 | Senegal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- France vs Iraq — 2026-06-22 (Philadelphia)
- Senegal vs Norway — 2026-06-22 (New York/NJ)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.