France 3–0 Iraq: World Cup 2026 Group I Match Report
Group Stage · Group I · Matchday 2
France
3 – 0
Iraq
FINAL
France claimed all three points by an emphatic 3-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. France entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave France a 94% chance of winning versus 6% for Iraq.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Kylian Mbappé (France)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2100 | ▲ +15 | 2115 | #2 | 2.9% |
| Iraq | 1630 | ▼ -39 | 1591 | #43 | 1.6% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group I Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France ✓ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 2 | Norway ✓ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 | Senegal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | Iraq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- France vs Norway — 2026-06-27 (Boston)
- Iraq vs Senegal — 2026-06-27 (Philadelphia)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.