France 4–6 England: World Cup 2026 Third-Place Play-off Match Report
Third-Place Play-off
France
4 – 6
England
FINAL
England won the Third-Place Play-off tie by a two-goal margin, edging a contest the ratings had as near even (46% to win), so the three points could comfortably have gone the other way. They advance to the next round; for France, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave France a 54% chance of winning versus 46% for England.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Kylian Mbappé (France)
- Ousmane Dembélé (France)
- Jude Bellingham (England)
- Harry Kane (England)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2100 | ▼ -19 | 2081 | #4 | 2.8% |
| England | 2070 | ▲ +76 | 2146 | #3 | 2.9% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.