Spain 3–0 Austria: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
Spain
3 – 0
Austria
FINAL
Spain won the Round of 32 tie by an emphatic 3 goals, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Spain 86% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Austria, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Spain a 86% chance of winning versus 14% for Austria.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 2060 | ▲ +21 | 2081 | #5 | 2.8% |
| Austria | 1750 | ▲ +7 | 1757 | #27 | 2.0% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.