England 2–1 Congo DR: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
England
2 – 1
Congo DR
FINAL
England won the Round of 32 tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated England 94% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Congo DR, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave England a 94% chance of winning versus 6% for Congo DR.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Harry Kane (England)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 2070 | ▲ +16 | 2086 | #4 | 2.8% |
| Congo DR | 1580 | ▲ +56 | 1636 | #38 | 1.7% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.