England 1–2 Argentina: World Cup 2026 Semi-Final Match Report
Semi-Final
England
1 – 2
Argentina
FINAL
Argentina won the Semi-Final tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Argentina 61% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for England, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave England a 39% chance of winning versus 61% for Argentina.
Today's Matches & Predictions
Goalscorers
- Harry Kane (England)
- Jude Bellingham (England)
- Lionel Messi (Argentina)
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 2070 | ▲ +27 | 2097 | #4 | 2.8% |
| Argentina | 2150 | ▲ +76 | 2226 | #1 | 3.2% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.