Egypt 1–1 Iran: World Cup 2026 Group G Match Report
Group Stage · Group G · Matchday 3
Egypt
1 – 1
Iran
FINAL
Honours even in a 1–1 draw, Egypt and Iran sharing the spoils after an even contest. The result leaves Group G finely balanced.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Egypt a 51% chance of winning versus 49% for Iran.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt | 1810 | ▲ +35 | 1845 | #19 | 2.2% |
| Iran | 1800 | ▼ -1 | 1799 | #24 | 2.1% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group G Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico ✓ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa ✓ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.