Colombia 1–0 Ghana: World Cup 2026 Round of 32 Match Report
Round of 32
Colombia
1 – 0
Ghana
FINAL
Colombia won the Round of 32 tie by a single goal, a result that went largely to script — the ELO model rated Colombia 77% favourites going in, and they duly delivered. They advance to the next round; for Ghana, the World Cup journey ends here.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Colombia a 77% chance of winning versus 23% for Ghana.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia | 1920 | ▲ +40 | 1960 | #11 | 2.5% |
| Ghana | 1710 | ▲ +18 | 1728 | #29 | 1.9% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.