Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador: World Cup 2026 Group E Match Report
Group Stage · Group E · Matchday 1
Ivory Coast
1 – 0
Ecuador
FINAL
Ivory Coast claimed all three points by a narrow one-goal margin, a result that was expected given the pre-match ELO ratings. Ivory Coast entered this fixture as favorites.
Pre-match win probabilities based on ELO ratings gave Ivory Coast a 64% chance of winning versus 36% for Ecuador.
Today's Matches & Predictions
ELO Rating Impact
This result has updated both teams' ELO ratings, which feed directly into the win probability model for future matches.
| Team | Pre-Match | Change | New ELO | Global Rank | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast | 1780 | ▲ +22 | 1802 | #22 | 2.1% |
| Ecuador | 1680 | ▼ -22 | 1658 | #37 | 1.8% |
ELO ratings updated using FIFA K-factor 60 with goal-difference multiplier. Changes reflect match result vs pre-match expectation.
Group E Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 3 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast ✓ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Curacao | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
✓ = currently qualifying for Round of 32
Next Up
- Ivory Coast vs Germany — 2026-06-20 (Toronto)
- Ecuador vs Curacao — 2026-06-20 (Kansas City)
Follow all remaining matches live with real-time ELO rankings on FootUps.